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Google CEO is expected to meet with US President-elect Trump on December 13th, local time.Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.Vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand will be exerted in all directions. The Central Economic Work Conference requires that consumption be vigorously boosted, investment efficiency be improved and domestic demand be expanded in all directions. Experts said that it is particularly urgent to expand domestic demand when the uncertainty of external demand increases. In 2025, macro-control should adhere to the general tone of striving for progress while maintaining stability, maintain strategic strength, strive to do our own thing well, and make overall plans to expand domestic demand, stabilize growth and promote transformation. (CSI)

The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market, is stepping down. According to a statement issued on Thursday, Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market group and a member of its executive committee, will leave the bank in March 2025 to become a senior manager in the private sector. In the meantime, Neil has been transferred as a consultant to help promote a smooth transition. Anna Nordstrom, head of domestic and international marketing functions of the market group, will be the interim head of the market group until a successor is appointed. The new york Federal Reserve will start looking for a new head of the market group in the next few weeks.The President of Belarus approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030. According to the website of the President of Belarus on the 12th, President Lukashenko approved the national defense plan for 2026-2030 at the meeting of the Belarusian Security Council that day. Lukashenko pointed out at the meeting that in recent years, the military and political situation around Belarus has deteriorated, individual countries have escalated the situation around Belarus, and European countries' destructive remarks against Belarus have also increased. He stressed that the Belarusian army poses no threat to any country, is a tool to prevent war, and will repel the enemy when the country is invaded.

There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.